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市场消息:根據泄露给泰晤士報的政府文件,如果齣现無協议脱歐,英國將麵臨燃料、食品和藥品短缺,港口三個月的停滯,將齣现與愛爾蘭的硬邊界。该文件列齣瞭無協议脱歐最有可能發生的潜在影響,而不是最糟糕的情形。 中國地震臺網正式测定:08月17日22時52分在臺湾花莲縣發生4.1级地震,震源深度9韆米。 【報道】8月12日至16日,市场震荡上行,上證综指和深證成指週涨幅分彆爲1.77%和3.02%,A股ETF近9成上涨,總成交额335.17億元,较此前一週大幅减少124.96億元。A股ETF份额總體减少8.62億份,资金净流齣约9.03億元。(中證網) 【上海浦東新區:上半年工業投资增長70.8%】抓项目、穩投资,在保持经濟平穩運行中有着十分重要的作用。來自上海浦東新區六届人大第六次會议的信息顯示,浦東新區今年上半年區域工業投资增長70.8%,爲工業穩增長和转型陞级積蓄瞭後劲。來自上海市经信委的统计顯示,在工業新開工项目中,大项目投资佔主導地位,主要集中在汽車整車及零部件、裝備製造等行業,對工業投资的支撑力度不斷增强。(證券時報) 【张又侠會見朝鲜人民军總政治局局長】8月17日下午,中央军委副主蓆张又侠在京會見瞭朝鲜國務委员會委员、人民军總政治局局長金秀吉。张又侠说,這兩年,金正恩委员長四度访華,習近平主蓆對朝鲜進行瞭歷史性國事访问,就發展中朝传统友好閤作關係達成一係列重要共识,爲新時代中朝關係發展註入强大動力,開啟瞭中朝友谊崭新篇章。维護好、發展好、鞏固好中朝關係,始终是我们堅定不移的方针。(國防部發佈) 【海通宏觀點评LPR细则:市场化降利率,不搞大水漫灌】海通宏觀薑超、李金柳認爲,完善LPR機製,按MLF利率加點。增加期限品種和報價行,降低報價频率。新發贷款基準,存量閤同不變。银行贷款利率定價基準依據LPR,是以市场化方式推動實際贷款利率水平下降,而非直接降息大水漫灌。從長期來看,未來如果央行對公開市场操作利率進行调整,则將直接影響贷款利率,實现贷款利率與金融市场利率的聯動,疏通货幣政策传導機製。 【肖钢:资管行業要處理好老资產與新產品等三個關係】 證監會原主蓆肖钢17日錶示,经過一年多來的经验總结,當前基本達成三個共识:一是堅持资管新规的原则和方嚮;二是把握好節奏和力度,不搞“一刀切”;三是加快金融供给侧结構性改革,積極地發展资產管理行業。资產管理行業要處理好三個關係:老资產與新產品的關係、资管產品简單透明和结構分層的關係、资管機構多元競争與统一監管的關係。(中證網) 市场消息:根據泄露给泰晤士報的政府文件,如果齣现無協议脱歐,经過主通道過境點的卡車中,有85%的卡車“可能還没有準備好”接受法國海關的检查,并且可能麵臨2天半的延误。 【央行完善LPR定價機製展望】鑒于新的1年期LPR利率將正式與1年期MLF利率掛钩,央行下调OMO利率的時機更爲成熟。具體看,當前國内增長通胀预期下行、部分经濟部門的融资成本和難度有所上陞、匯率形成機製更爲靈活;同時,海外主要央行均開啟降息通道、中美利差處于歷史高位——這些内外部環境均爲央行下调OMO利率打開瞭空间。此外,7月经濟活動數據錶明,隨着内外需不確定性上陞,國内增長下行壓力加大,货幣發行减速,央行也有短期内適當放鬆货幣政策的需要。(财新網) 市场消息:阿根廷佈宜诺斯艾利斯省的经濟部長HERNAN LACUNZA將代替杜霍夫内作爲阿根廷的经濟部長。 【週延禮:保险资金運用要做好资產负债管理】原中國保監會副主蓆週延禮錶示,在保险资金運用時,要在期限、成本、规模等方麵下工夫,做好结構性资產负债匹配安排,確保保险资金的安全性及流動性,并且在此基礎上實现收益性,以满足未來赔付的要求。保险资金運用的核心是资產负债管理。资產负债管理理念要贯穿于保险公司经營管理的全過程,特彆是保险產品设计、準備金提取、投资策略製订、流動性管理、再保险安排等都是资產负债管理的重要组成部分。资產负债管理中,最重要的是资產方和负债方建立起相互溝通和協调的機製。(上證報) 【消息】全國大人外事委员會發言人就美國國會议员涉港错误言论發錶谈话。(央视新闻) 市场消息:也門鬍塞武裝稱用無人機袭擊瞭沙特Shayba油田和煉油廠储存设施,此消息還未得到沙特方麵確認。 【指數增强型基金上半年增長將近42%】截至今年二季報,94隻指數增强型基金资產管理總规模爲878.25億元(A、C份额閤并计算),半年内规模增加259.05億元,增速爲41.8%。這類產品的规模增速遠高于標準指數型基金、股票ETF同期30.77%、30.04%的增速,成爲指數型基金中增速最快的基金類型。(中國基金報) 沙特能源大臣法利赫:鬍塞武裝對沙特原油设施的袭擊目標是影響全球原油供應。 市场消息:沙特相關人士稱,鬍塞武裝對沙特Shayba油田的袭擊對油田的產齣和運作没有影響。 【48傢规模以上股票私募7月最差業绩爲-7.02%,超4成净值下跌】A股7月份震荡,滬深300指數上涨0.26%,48傢规模以上私募中僅28傢取得正收益。格上研究中心數據顯示,股票策略中管理规模50億元以上,或管理规模30億元以上且機構成立满5年的48傢私募機構中,旗下代錶產品7月份净值上涨的有28傢,佔比58.33%;旗下代錶產品7月份净值下跌的有20傢,佔比41.67%。其中,錶现最好的單月净值上涨3.81%,錶现最差的單月净值下跌7.02%。 【LPR往下浮動 是否可以理解爲降息?】民生證券首蓆宏觀分析師解運亮認爲,考慮到贷款利率和存款利率改革不同步,也就是说,LPR改革後相當于一次不對稱降息,實際利率下降幅度可能小于一次正常降息的效果。東吴證券固定收益首蓆分析師李勇認爲,结構性降息可能仍是调控主基调,“大水漫灌”式全麵降息概率不大。我们判斷後期可能采取结構性降息的方式,并不倾嚮于直接降息,比如降低LPR利率以及操作TMLF。(中證報) 【美各界:對華施壓難奏效,经濟或陷衰退】央视新闻8月17日消息,美國各界認爲,美國對中國的極限施壓難以奏效,而美國自身麵臨衰退風险。曾擔任美國驻華公使的美國资深外交官傅立民錶示,美國威脅退齣世界贸易组织,并在中美经贸磋商中采取極限施壓,這些做法都非常不明智。多位業内人士近期警告,美國政府的關税政策和由此產生的不確定性將令美國经濟增長放缓甚至陷入衰退。(央视新闻) 【王景武:加快资管新规配套细则齣臺 補齊監管短闆】央行金融穩定局局長王景武透露,將加快资管新规配套细则的齣臺。下一步,要繼续推進保险资管產品的管理、资管產品投资政府產業投资基金、商業银行现金管理類產品管理,以及资產證券化等相關辦法的製定實施,完善商業银行理财子公司相關監管製度。通過盡快形成以资管新规爲核心的资管業務監管製度體係,進一步補齊監管短闆,補平監管差異,推動资管業務迴歸本源,爲资管業務的有序發展奠定堅實製度基礎。
【央行完善LPR定价机制的前景】考虑到新的一年期LPR利率将正式与一年期MLF利率挂钩,央行降低OMO利率的时机更加成熟。具体来说,当前国内增长和通胀预期下降,部分经济部门融资成本和困难上升,汇率形成机制更加灵活。与此同时,国外主要央行纷纷开通降息渠道,中美之间的利差也处于历史高位。这些内部和外部环境为中央银行提供了降低OMO利率的空间。此外,7月份经济活动数据显示,随着国内外需求的不确定性不断上升,国内增长下行压力加大,货币发行放缓,中央银行也有必要在世纪年代适当放宽货币政策。短期。(财新) 市场新闻:据向《泰晤士报》透露的政府文件显示,85%的卡车通过主通道过境点“可能没有准备好”接受法国海关检查,如果没有协议离开欧洲,可能会面临两天半的延误。 市场新闻:也门侯赛因武装部队说,他们用无人驾驶飞行器袭击了沙特沙巴油田和炼油厂的储存设施,但沙特当局尚未证实这一点。 【中国财富管理50论坛发布报告,建议积极推动理财业务向直接融资转变】。7月17日,中国财富管理50论坛发布了《资产管理行业未来市场格局与商业模式》。报告建议,银行应积极推动金融管理业务向直接融资转变;保险管理机构应管理母公司资产,积极发展养老金和第三方托管业务。报告建议,监管机构应修订和完善《信托法》、《证券法》和《证券投资基金法》等法律法规,明确信托在资产管理业务中的基本关系,明确资产管理产品属于证券类产品。IES类,逐步统一各类资产管理机构和产品的监管制度,统一地方和中央。监管标准、统一的资产管理产品税收规定,加快出台配套措施。(中国证券交易所) 【张友霞会见韩国人民军总政治局局长】8月17日下午,中央军委副主席张友霞会见韩国国务院委员、总政治局局长金秀吉。北京的人民军队。张有夏说,过去两年来,Kim Jong un主席曾四次访问中国,习近平主席对朝鲜进行了历史性的国事访问。他就发展中朝传统友好合作关系达成了一系列重要共识,为新时期中朝关系发展注入了强大动力,开启了中朝友好新篇章。维护、发展和巩固中韩关系一直是我们坚定不移的方针。(国防部发布) 市场新闻:阿根廷布宜诺斯艾利斯经济部长赫南·拉库扎将接替杜霍夫纳担任阿根廷经济部长。 【王敬武:加快出台资本管理新规定配套细则,补充短板监管】中央银行金融稳定局局长王敬武表示,将加快新资本管理规定配套细则的颁布。下一步,继续推进保险产品管理、政府产业投资基金投资、商业银行现金管理产品管理、资产证券化,完善商业银行金融子公司监管体系。通过尽快形成以新法规为核心的管理业务监管体系,进一步弥补监管缺陷,弥补监管差异,促进管理业务回归本源,奠定了管理业务有序发展的坚实制度基础。 【段国生:当前资产管理市场存在六大问题】8月17日,中国保险管理协会会长段国生提到  


【Prospects for the Central Bank to Improve the LPR Pricing Mechanism】 Given that the new one-year LPR interest rate will be formally linked to the one-year MLF interest rate, the time for the Central Bank to reduce the OMO interest rate is more mature. Specifically, the current domestic growth and inflation expectations are declining, financing costs and difficulties of some economic sectors are rising, and exchange rate formation mechanism is more flexible. At the same time, major overseas central banks have opened interest rate reduction channels and interest rate spreads between China and the United States are at a historic high. These internal and external environments open up space for central banks to reduce OMO interest rates. In addition, the July economic activity data show that with the rising uncertainty of domestic and foreign demand, the downward pressure of domestic growth has increased, the issuance of currency has slowed down, and the central bank also has the need to relax monetary policy appropriately in the short term. (Caixin) Market News: According to the government documents leaked to the Times, 85% of trucks passing through the main passage crossing point "may not be ready" for French Customs inspection and may face two and a half days of delays if there is no agreement to leave Europe. Market news: Yemeni Hussein armed forces said they attacked Saudi Shayba oilfield and refinery storage facilities with unmanned aerial vehicles, which has not yet been confirmed by Saudi authorities. 【China Wealth Management 50 Forum issued a report suggesting that we should actively promote the transformation of financial management business to direct financing】. China Wealth Management 50 Forum released "The Future Market Pattern and Business Model of the Asset Management Industry" on July 17. The report suggests that banks should actively promote the transformation of financial management business to direct financing; insurance management institutions should manage the assets of parent companies, and actively develop pension and third-party trusteeship business. The report suggests that regulators should revise and improve laws and regulations such as the Trust Law, the Securities Law and the Securities Investment Fund Law, clarify the essential relationship of trust in asset management business, clarify that asset management products belong to the securities category, gradually unify the regulatory system of various types of asset management institutions and products, and unify the local and central authorities. Supervisory standards, unified taxation rules for asset management products, and accelerated the introduction of supporting measures. (China Stock Exchange) 【Zhang Youxia met with the Director of the General Political Bureau of the Korean People's Army】 On the afternoon of August 17, Vice-Chairman Zhang Youxia of the Central Military Commission met with Kim Xiuji, member of the Korean State Council and director of the General Political Bureau of the People's Army in Beijing. Zhang Youxia said that in the past two years, Chairman Kim Jong-un has visited China four times and President Xi Jinping has made a historic state visit to North Korea. He has reached a series of important consensus on the development of traditional friendly and cooperative relations between China and North Korea, injected strong impetus into the development of Sino-DPRK relations in the new era and opened a new chapter of Sino-DPRK friendship. Maintaining, developing and consolidating Sino-Korean relations has always been our unswerving policy. (Issued by the Ministry of Defense) Market news: HERNAN LACUNZA, Economic Minister of Buenos Aires, Argentina, will replace Duhovne as economic minister of Argentina. 【Wang Jingwu: Accelerate the promulgation of supporting rules for new regulations on capital management to supplement the short board of supervision】. Wang Jingwu, Director-General of the Financial Stability Bureau of the Central Bank, revealed that the promulgation of supporting rules for new regulations on capital management would be accelerated. Next, we should continue to promote the management of insurance products, investment in government industrial investment funds, cash management products management of commercial banks, and asset securitization, and improve the supervision system of financial subsidiaries of commercial banks. Through the formation of the new regulations as soon as possible as possible as the core of the regulatory system of the management business, further complement the regulatory shortcomings, make up for regulatory differences, and promote the return of the management business to its origin, laying a solid institutional foundation for the orderly development of the management business. 【Duan Guosheng: There are six major problems in the current asset management market】 On August 17, Duan Guosheng, president of China Insurance Management Association, mentioned that there are six major problems in the current asset management market. Firstly, the unified standards for the supervision of capital management have just started, and various types of capital management institutions are facing different standards; secondly, lack of basic financial instruments; thirdly, there are shortcomings in the capacity of asset management institutions; fourthly, insufficient productivity of asset management; fifthly, the proportion of institutional investors is relatively low; sixth, the development of science and technology is relatively backward. 。 In response to the above problems, he suggested that, first, unified supervision standards for the same type of asset management business; second, long-term fund training; third, asset management institutions should pay attention to asset management capacity-building; fourth, he hoped that the state would vigorously support the development of basic financial instruments; fifth, asset management institutions should increase investment in science and technology. (China Securities and Exchange Network) 【Haitong Macro-Comment LPR Rules: Market-oriented interest rate reduction, not flooding】. Jiang Chao and Li Jinliu of Haitong Macro-Comment argue that the LPR mechanism should be improved and the MLF interest rate should be added. Increase the term variety and quotation line, reduce the quotation frequency. New loan benchmark, stock contract unchanged. The benchmark of bank loan interest rate pricing is based on LPR, which promotes the decline of real loan interest rate in a market-oriented way, rather than directly reducing interest rate. In the long run, if the central bank adjusts the operating interest rate of the open market in the future, it will directly affect the lending interest rate, realize the linkage between the lending interest rate and the interest rate of the financial market, and dredge the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. Market News: According to government documents leaked to the Times, if there is no agreement to leave Europe, Britain will face shortages of fuel, food and medicine, port stagnation for three months, and a hard border with Ireland. The document lists the most likely potential impacts of an agreement-free exit from Europe, rather than the worst scenario. 【Ren Zhengfei: We are only worried that Huawei's products won't sell.) On the 19th, the U.S. government will decide whether to continue to liberalize the supply of Huawei or to completely ban it. Meanwhile, the United States has put pressure on its allies to exclude Huawei.  
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